The Style Rookie
"Z" a geração altruísta
Um total de 77% está preocupado em não se endividar. É uma geração
altruísta, nada egoísta. Vai se mostrar forte e politicamente
sensibilizada por questões como a desigualdade economia e social. E 95%
pensam que se deve ajudar a quem precisa, mas estão muito desiludidos
com a política tradicional.”
Aqui
Mais sobre o futuro: After The Millenials
Culture and its possible impact / to bring imagination and innovation into the same space
Arjun Appadurai: The Future as a Cultural Fact
Tales from Facebook / Theories of things
"Renowned anthropologist Daniel Miller introduces his new book, Tales
from Facebook, the result of an in-depth study of the way that Facebook
impacts on its users' lives. In this interview, he explains why Facebook
interests him as an anthropologist and describes some of his findings."
Outro link
6 Futuristas Falam Como Será a Próxima Década
Mas, que novos cenários estão previstos?
O Futuro das Coisas buscou respostas em seis dos mais renomados futuristas da atualidade – e eles nos deram algumas previsões interessantes.
Aqui.
The Global Fururist
Extreme Future
Isto é Intimidade, Disse Eu
"Uma coisa nova de que me apercebi foi que comecei a sentir que o desejo de nos sentarmos juntos, calmamente e em silêncio, provinha tanto dele como de mim. Tínhamos tido prenúncios disto durante os nossos banhos a dois, mas com a nudez como ingrediente e a água a impor, ao arrefecer, um término natural a esses momentos, a situação fora diferente. Agora, estendíamo-nos simplesmente ao final da tarde ou início da noite, completamente vestidos, com uma disposição não necessariamente — aliás, muitas vezes não o era de todo — pré-coital, e nem sequer líamos ou lembrávamos um ao outro coisas que tínhamos para fazer. Ele desistiu de ter sempre um caderno e um lápis à mão. Este nosso repouso partilhado não era instrumental. Pressenti e ele confirmou que preferia que eu não lesse nada de demasiado absorvente enquanto estávamos deitados, porque me afastava dele. Podia ler poesia, porque havia espaços entre os poemas em que eu voltava a estar presente. Eu não conseguia acreditar verdadeiramente nisso. Era demasiado lisonjeiro.
Por volta dessa altura, a questão da verdadeira intimidade — como defini-la, será que a tínhamos, será que não — desapareceu, graças a Deus. Às vezes, quando estávamos a descansar, o Nelson virava-se e confrontava-me com um sorriso tresloucado que o fazia parecer o logotipo de uma casa de jogos. Isso era para me dar a oportunidade de o sossegar em relação aos dentes e ao sorriso. Isto é intimidade, disse eu. Ele sabia que um dos motivos pelos quais sorria menos do que as outras pessoas era por ter a sensação de que os seus dentes, ligeiramente encavalitados de lado, eram feios e, quando sorria, sentia a cara inchada, esquisita. Isto é intimidade, disse eu, e evocar fantasias sexuais datadas sobre ir para a cama com gémeas idênticas é falsa intimidade, embora seja essa a noção de intimidade que têm noventa por cento dos homens."
Norman Rush, Acasalamento
Podíamos ficar cá...
"O que é que te aborreceu?, perguntou o Nelson, quando voltei para a vidraria. Nada, talvez tenha sido a minha mãe, respondi, fugindo à pergunta, quando o que me apetecia verdadeiramente era gritar com ele por causa do gigantesco quid pro quo com que me brindava, qualquer coisa do género: Podemos ficar juntos para sempre, mas só numa cabeça de alfinete, em Tsau. Estava cansada de as boas notícias andarem sempre de braço dado com as más: ganha-se uma lua de mel mas é em Beirute, ganha-se um chalet para a reforma mas fica no cimo de Kanchenjunga. Apetecia-me andar de um lado para o outro e dar pontapés nos sacos dele de areia rara."
Norman Rush, Acasalamento
Getting away with it all messed up
A análise de Hubert Dreyfus ao filme À Bout de Souffle de Jean Luc Godard
Active & Passive Nihilism
do pensar
"Learning how to think means learning how to exercise some control over
how and what you think. It means being conscious and aware enough to
choose what you pay attention to and to choose how you construct meaning
from experience, because if you cannot exercise this kind of choice, in
adult life, you will be totally hosed."
David Foster Wallace
Da importância de estarmos abertos ao que se atravessa no nosso caminho / Getting away with it all messed up! / The importance of the 'reconfigurers' / mudando paradigmas / Flow: to lose ourselves in a sacred sort of way
"The sacred is, whatever it is in a culture at which you are not allowed to laugh."
Sean Dorrance Kelly, citando Nietzsche
"And that state where nothing seems any more important than anything else is the state that Nietzsche called, the state of nihilism. The state that W. H. Auden said in a poem, the state where all elsewheres are equal. The state where every choice is equally good. Nietzsche thought that was a great thing, but we [S.D.Kelly and Hubert Dreyfuss] think that's an unlivable state to find yourself in. So the threat of nihilism is a threat that's peculiar in the secular age."
Sean Dorrance Kelly
"It never occurred to me that I was suffering from nihilism."
Hubert Dreyfus
"We, maybe, can still get the kind of excitement and meaning and insight and intensity that they had in the center of their lives. We can find it in the margin of ours, thanks to these great works. And then, and that's a whole other story, develop the skills for bringing back these marginal practices and putting them in the center of their lives, so that they, again, have what earlier people thought of as their gods. They will find their own new gods, which won't be some gods that they invent and they won't be totally new. They will find the sacred and the gods that were there, in these other epochs, in an intense way, and bring them back in a new way. That's why we end up with Moby Dick. The only person who sees this is Melville, who says explicitly that he wants to bring back the Homeric gods and he is, in the course of Moby Dick, collecting the sacred wherever he finds it from all these other cultures. Instead of at the other epics in the history of the West, by the time you get to Melville, the whole West, the whole world is there available, so he sales all around the world, picking up the cultural sacred, the meaningful, the intense and so forth, and getting in sinc with it, wherever he finds it, and bringing it back.
Now that I say it, I don't see exactly how that fits with Homer... (We have to think about this). There seems to be two different stories, both of them right. Melville wants to go back to the Homeric gods, but he also wants to get in touch with all the other gods and sacred that he can find. And that's not incompatible. That just two wonderful sources of meaning and intensity and insight, and he's for both of them. And my course seems to be giving people access to them, and so they get all excited."
Hubert Dreyfus
"Monotheism is the enemy of the multiple local sacred."
Hubert Dreyfus
"You get the idea that the right relation to the divine is openness and receptivity and even if it's risky you do it, and that's what Helen did, and that's what we can learn to do. And that's another long story, how we would learn to do it." [+/– min 29]
Hubert Dreyfus
"Jesus [as a 'reconfigurer'] does it by putting down the Law (which was the big deal thing), and substituting this new thing, agape love, which is a receptive way of relating to others, and transforms things because what was the central thing, namely the law, is now still there but only on the margin."
Hubert Dreyfus
A partir do minuto 35:40, Sean Kelly fala sobre David Foster Wallace (muito interessante).
"That feeling of it just being obvious that this needs to be done, at this moment, is a feeling that people can have, if they have the right kind of background, the right kind of skills, and the right kind of openness to what's meaningful in the situation. But the idea that those are the things that you need to develop, set of background skills that allow you to be open to what's required in the situation is just exactly the opposite of Wallace's idea that you need to develop a sense of control over how you determine and decide all on your own what's going to be meaningful regardless of what the situation tells you. We're trying to pull out of these previous epics a different notion in each of them of a kind of receptivity to what's already meaningful in the situation, that we seem no longer to be sensitive to in virtue of the fact that we think that meanings in situations come from our own autonomous and subjective choices and from the force of our own individual will."
Sean Dorrance Kelly
da fragilidade / dealing with failure
"If you are not exposed to stressers you are going to be weakened. We have a society that is obsessed by eliminating small stressers, small risk, at the expense of large risk. [...] We are made for variability."
Nassim Taleb
Ou seja, errar muitas vezes faz bem! :)
"We are made to hate randomness. The environment gives us randomness and it prevented us from dying, prevented us from encountering the big large scale event. So we are made to hate randomness because we are not fine tuned for such subtlety that some randomness in small amounts is good for us."
Nassim Taleb
"The psychology of it is that we are actually relatively more sensitive to small losses than to big losses, to small harms than to big harms. We have a limited ability, actually, to feel pain, and we feel a lot of pain for very little harm and then it doesn't get worse proportionately. So in a very real sense we're designed against what you want. [...] When you have achieved anti-fragility, you really don't need to predict. You don't need to predict the detail."
Daniel Kahneman
"Trial and error isn't really trial and error. Trial and error is trial with small error. What is anti-fragile? It's small losses and big gains. To out perform trial and error intellectually, you need at least 1000 IQ points. What I mean is that you'd rather be anti-fragile than intelligent any time. You look at the data and you realize that all the big gains we have had, in any field, except the nuclear, and even in medicine except for AZT drugs, came from trial and error by people who didn't have much of a clue about the process. It's trying."
Nassim Taleb
Link: Fat Tony [+/– min 54]
"Fat Tony doesn't believe in knowledge. He believes in tricks and no theory. He believes in doing and you keep trying till something works. And then you get rich and then you go and have lunch and that is why he is called Fat Tony. So Fat Tony is arguing with Socrates and he was able to express that sentence that Nietzsche really understood, he said: 'The mistake people tend to make is to think that whenever you don't understand it's stupid. The unintelligible is not necessarily unintelligent. And anti-fragility is harvesting the unintelligible. It's harvesting what we don't understand. And this is what was done. Take the industrial revolution, take the Silicon Valley, take the discoveries in medicine... It's harvesting the unintelligible with small errors and big gains, and doing it in an industrial scale. So the industrial revolution happened with people who weren't really academics."
Nassim Taleb
"And that is why I don't like academia. If you had put Bill Gates through a whole college experience, you wouldn't have had Microsoft."
Nassim Taleb
"Many of the concepts we really admire are questioned in the book. And if you don't completely buy the argument (I think the argument is quite extreme). But you even don't completely buy it, it is bound to lead you to questions. To questions about the relative value of theory and practice. To questions about the value of planning, just as trial and error. We normally favor theory, we favor general understanding, we favor deductive reasoning or induction. That's the way our values are. These are questions in this book. [...] All of these issues that we normally consider, fairly obviously, the way to go in the modern world, all of these are really questioned in Anti-Fragile, so that makes it worth taking a look, even of sometimes the book is going to make you quite uncomfortable."
Daniel Kahneman
"Thinking probabilistically, in a proper way is extremely difficult for people. People do have a sense of propensity. That is, that a system has a tendency to do something or other, but that's quite different from thinking about probability, where you do have to think about two possibilities and weigh their relative chances of happening."
Daniel Kahneman
"I'm a firm believer in intuition. I have done a lot of research in explaining where intuition leads us astray, but intuition works most of the time extremely well for us. Basically it's system one that keeps us moving and it's intuitive and mostly it's fine. Occasionally it leads us into amusing errors and I spent my life time studying those amusing errors."
Daniel Kahneman
"Try to avoid a non narrative form of life by, opportunistically, taking advantage of things in a structured way. So you need a huge amount of reason but at the same time you don't need a narrative. It's much harder to live that way but it's much more rewarding and much safer. [...] You have to allow the people to fail. Encourage the risk takers. You should bail out the individuals, not the corporations, by giving them a backup to take more risks in life."
Nassim Taleb
Living by numbers
"Também achei que ele andava com tendência para ser mais verdadeiro, ou
melhor, mais verdadeiro mais depressa. Havia uma contradição: quando lhe
perguntei, em tom ligeiro e en passant, que idade tinha, ele hesitou
palpavelmente antes de responder. Estávamos a trabalhar na plantação de
borracheiras. Fiquei atordoada durante um segundo por ele aparentemente
se estar a revelar uma pessoa que acha que a idade é importante. Nenhum
homem verdadeiramente adulto o acha. Depois, disse a única coisa que o
poderia ter salvado: que não sabia que idade tinha."
Norman Rush, Acasalamento
o sendeiro leguminoso
"Mas houve mais de um punhado de vezes em que acordei e deparei com a cama vazia.
Fiz as habituais deduções sobre para onde ele podia ter ido, pelo menos
em relação às ausências mais curtas. Havia também a questão delicada de
estarmos ambos a trilhar o 'sendeiro leguminoso', em termos de regime
alimentar, para usar a expressão dele, de maneira que tínhamos de lidar
com uma certa flatulência, pura e simples flatulência. Parecia ser
cíclica, mas existia indubitavelmente.
Nos primeiros dias de vida em comum, tínhamos individualmente arranjado
pretextos para ir lá fora um minuto, especialmente depois de nos termos
deitado, para evitar o antirromantismo da coisa toda. Mas isso tornou-se
demasiado pesado e acabámos por criar um modo de estar bastante
aceitável, pareceu-me. Quando era eu a autora do ruído, ele dizia, por
exemplo: 'Also sprach' Zarathrustra, ou Ah, um relatório do interior,
como se ele fosse um embaixador ou procônsul. À medida que nos fomos
sentindo mais à vontade um com o outro, inventámos outras expressões.
Esta questão tem, de facto, de ser trabalhada entre amantes. Conheço um
casamento em que a primeira brecha que levou ao colapso total surgiu
quando o marido declarou que a flatulência só era um problema quando era
ele a cozinhar."
Norman Rush, Acasalamento
Um mundo iluminado / The Re-Enchantment of Humanity
Em busca de uma 'fusão' perfeita.
"The biosphere is building its own ways of becoming. And so is the economy. The biosphere is building its own future possibilities. With no selection."
"How much magic do you need for re-enchantment? It's not a Newtonian world at all."
"We live in a network of enablement and opportunity that we don't even recognize. Enablement doesn't mean it's going to be good or bad. Good or bad can happen. That doesn't mean it's not magic. It's up to us to make things work well."
"There is no law that entails the becoming of the biosphere. There is no law that entails the evolution of economy."
"We are beyond the framework of Newton and Einstein and Schrödinger, who said: 'Write down the laws, the initial and boundary conditions. Write the laws in differential forms, now please integrate.' Which is deduction, which is entailment. We can't do it for the biosphere. That means we're beyond the hegemony of Newton, who has dominated our thinking for 350 years. We're even beyond Darwin, because brilliant as Darwin was, he didn't see the radical emergence of the fact that the biosphere is building the possibilities of its evolution with no selection. It's building its own possibilities for becoming. Darwin didn't think of that. I did. Having tea with my wife in Santa Fé."
"I think this is the beginning of being possibly re-enchanted."
"There is a sharp distinction between knowing, being and doing."
"To live the well discovered life. Where what you discover in your life and we live it. You discover new pathways that open before you. New pathways, new possibilities open before us all the time. That is what our life is. I think this is the beginning of a new vision of who we are and how we are, to be put together with an understanding of our evolved social primate humanity."
Mais
Apocalipse NOW / Cisnes negros / Bodes expiatórios
A matter of imagination, maturity and survival.
Mais do que nunca, chegou o tempo em que vamos pôr à prova a nossa capacidade para nos ajudarmos uns aos outros.
"When none of the moral illumination of institutions was present,
kindness was all that remained, and the pale light of the individual
rescuers shone."
Não há dinheiro no mundo que pague a ajuda pronta e desinteressada.
O sabor da gratidão é doce e faz bem à saúde.
"There need not be any compelling reason for concern about life and death, as the Nazi example shows, only a momentary conviction that dramatic action is needed to preserve a way of life."
"Nature has taken some revenge that makes conventional politics seem irrelevant, reducing society to struggle and rescue. The earth’s surface grows wild, humans go feral and anything is possible."
"Hitler was a child of the first globalisation, which arose under imperial auspices at the end of the 19th century. We are the children of the second, that of the late 20th century. Globalisation is neither a problem nor a solution; it is a condition with a history. It brings a specific intellectual danger. Since the world is more complex than a country or a city, the temptation is to seek some master key to understanding everything."
"A problem that is truly planetary in scale, such as climate change, obviously demands global solutions – and one apparent solution is to define a global enemy."
"One of the errors of the 2003 invasion of Iraq was the belief that regime change must be creative. The theory was that the destruction of a state and its ruling elite would bring freedom and justice. In fact, the succession of events precipitated by the illegal invasion of a sovereign state confirmed one of the unlearned lessons of the history of the second world war."
"Destroying states without such malign intentions produces more conventional disasters. [...] The invasion of Iraq killed at least as many people as did the prior Iraqi regime. It exposed the members of the Iraqi ruling party to religious cleansing and prepared the way for chaos throughout the country."
"A common American error is to believe that freedom is the absence of state authority."
"Though no American would deny that tanks work in the desert, some Americans do deny that deserts are growing larger. Though no American would deny ballistics, some Americans do deny climate science. Hitler denied that science could solve the basic problem of nutrition, but assumed that technology could win territory. It seemed to follow that waiting for research was pointless and that immediate military action was necessary. In the case of climate change, the denial of science likewise legitimates military action rather than investment in technology. If people do not take responsibility for the climate themselves, they will shift responsibility for the associated calamities to other people. Insofar as climate denial hinders technical progress, it might hasten real disasters, which in their turn can make catastrophic thinking still more credible. A vicious circle can begin in which politics collapses into ecological panic. The direct consequences of climate change will reach America long after Africa, the Near East and China have been transformed. By then, it will be too late to act."
"When states are absent, rights – by any definition – are impossible to sustain. States are not structures to be taken for granted, exploited or discarded, but are fruits of long and quiet effort. "
"Another plurality is between order and freedom: each depends upon the other, although each is different from the other. The claim that order is freedom or that freedom is order ends in tyranny. The claim that freedom is the lack of order must end in anarchy – which is nothing more than tyranny of a special kind."
"In the case of climate change, we know what the state can do to tame panic. We know that it is easier and less costly to draw nourishment from plants than animals. We know that improvements in agricultural productivity continue and that the desalination of seawater is possible. We know that efficiency of energy use is the simplest way to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. We know that governments can assign prices to carbon pollution and can pledge reductions of future emissions to one another and review one another’s pledges. We also know that governments can stimulate the development of appropriate energy technologies."
O sabor da gratidão é doce e faz bem à saúde.
"There need not be any compelling reason for concern about life and death, as the Nazi example shows, only a momentary conviction that dramatic action is needed to preserve a way of life."
"Nature has taken some revenge that makes conventional politics seem irrelevant, reducing society to struggle and rescue. The earth’s surface grows wild, humans go feral and anything is possible."
"Hitler was a child of the first globalisation, which arose under imperial auspices at the end of the 19th century. We are the children of the second, that of the late 20th century. Globalisation is neither a problem nor a solution; it is a condition with a history. It brings a specific intellectual danger. Since the world is more complex than a country or a city, the temptation is to seek some master key to understanding everything."
"A problem that is truly planetary in scale, such as climate change, obviously demands global solutions – and one apparent solution is to define a global enemy."
"One of the errors of the 2003 invasion of Iraq was the belief that regime change must be creative. The theory was that the destruction of a state and its ruling elite would bring freedom and justice. In fact, the succession of events precipitated by the illegal invasion of a sovereign state confirmed one of the unlearned lessons of the history of the second world war."
"Destroying states without such malign intentions produces more conventional disasters. [...] The invasion of Iraq killed at least as many people as did the prior Iraqi regime. It exposed the members of the Iraqi ruling party to religious cleansing and prepared the way for chaos throughout the country."
"A common American error is to believe that freedom is the absence of state authority."
"Though no American would deny that tanks work in the desert, some Americans do deny that deserts are growing larger. Though no American would deny ballistics, some Americans do deny climate science. Hitler denied that science could solve the basic problem of nutrition, but assumed that technology could win territory. It seemed to follow that waiting for research was pointless and that immediate military action was necessary. In the case of climate change, the denial of science likewise legitimates military action rather than investment in technology. If people do not take responsibility for the climate themselves, they will shift responsibility for the associated calamities to other people. Insofar as climate denial hinders technical progress, it might hasten real disasters, which in their turn can make catastrophic thinking still more credible. A vicious circle can begin in which politics collapses into ecological panic. The direct consequences of climate change will reach America long after Africa, the Near East and China have been transformed. By then, it will be too late to act."
"When states are absent, rights – by any definition – are impossible to sustain. States are not structures to be taken for granted, exploited or discarded, but are fruits of long and quiet effort. "
"Another plurality is between order and freedom: each depends upon the other, although each is different from the other. The claim that order is freedom or that freedom is order ends in tyranny. The claim that freedom is the lack of order must end in anarchy – which is nothing more than tyranny of a special kind."
"In the case of climate change, we know what the state can do to tame panic. We know that it is easier and less costly to draw nourishment from plants than animals. We know that improvements in agricultural productivity continue and that the desalination of seawater is possible. We know that efficiency of energy use is the simplest way to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. We know that governments can assign prices to carbon pollution and can pledge reductions of future emissions to one another and review one another’s pledges. We also know that governments can stimulate the development of appropriate energy technologies."
"States should invest in science so that the future can be calmly
contemplated. The study of the past suggests why this would be a wise
course. Time supports thought, thought supports time; structure supports
plurality, and plurality, structure. This line of reasoning is less
glamorous than waiting for general disaster and dreaming of personal
redemption. Effective prevention of mass killings is incremental and its
heroes are invisible. No conception of a durable state can compete with
visions of totality. No green politics will ever be as exciting as red
blood on black earth."
Excertos do artigo de Timothy Snyder
